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McDonald's (MCD) valuation

Run six valuation models on McDonald's with live data: DCF, Reverse DCF, Graham number, Monte Carlo, scenarios and sum-of-the-parts (NAV).

MCD
MCD

McDonald's

MCD · Consumer Cyclical

Current price

275,21 USD

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Valuation

Market cap
$194.75B
PE (TTM | NTM | +1y)
22.36 | 19.67 | 19.67
Price / Sales
7.03
EV / EBITDA
16.60
Price / Book
—

Cash flow

FCF yield(8.85 / 275.21)
+3.22%
SBC-adjusted FCF yield
—
SBC impact
—

Margins & growth

Profit margin
+31.72%
Operating margin
+46.49%
Quarterly earnings (YoY)
+4.84%
Quarterly revenue (YoY)
+3.76%

Balance

Cash
$822M
Debt
$54.6B
Net position
-$53.78B

Dividend

Dividend yield
+2.71%
Payout ratio
+59.71%
Next payout
9/16/2026

Price (1 year)

-10.92%
$341.06

Revenue

estimate
Q4 21: $6.01BQ4 21Q1 22: $5.67BQ2 22: $5.72BQ3 22: $5.87BQ3 22Q4 22: $5.93BQ1 23: $5.9BQ2 23: $6.5BQ2 23Q3 23: $6.69BQ4 23: $6.41BQ1 24: $6.17BQ1 24Q2 24: $6.49BQ3 24: $6.87BQ2 25: $6.84BQ2 25Q3 25: $7.08BQ4 25: $7.01BQ1 26: $6.52BQ2 26: $7.1BQ2 26Q3 26 · estimate: $7.32BQ3 26$7.32B

EBITDA

Q2 25: $3.8BQ2 25Q3 25: $3.91BQ3 25Q4 25: $3.74BQ4 25Q1 26: $3.51BQ1 26Q2 26: $3.91BQ2 26$3.91B

Net income

Q4 21: $1.64BQ4 21Q1 22: $1.1BQ2 22: $1.19BQ3 22: $1.98BQ3 22Q4 22: $1.9BQ1 23: $1.8BQ2 23: $2.31BQ2 23Q3 23: $2.32BQ4 23: $2.04BQ1 24: $1.93BQ1 24Q2 24: $2.02BQ3 24: $2.26BQ2 25: $2.25BQ2 25Q3 25: $2.28BQ4 25: $2.16BQ1 26: $1.98BQ2 26: $2.36BQ2 26$2.36B

Free cash flow

Q4 21: $1.98BQ4 21Q1 22: $1.73BQ2 22: $180.2MQ3 22: $1.9BQ3 22Q4 22: $1.67BQ1 23: $1.92BQ2 23: $1.15BQ2 23Q3 23: $2.46BQ4 23: $1.73BQ1 24: $1.84BQ1 24Q2 24: $1.06BQ3 24: $1.94BQ2 25: $1.25BQ2 25Q3 25: $2.42BQ4 25: $1.64BQ1 26: $1.73BQ2 26: $1.98BQ2 26$2.46B

EPS

estimate
Q4 21: 2.18Q4 21Q1 22: 1.48Q2 22: 1.60Q3 22: 2.68Q3 22Q4 22: 2.57Q1 23: 2.45Q2 23: 3.15Q2 23Q3 23: 3.17Q4 23: 2.79Q1 24: 2.66Q1 24Q2 24: 2.80Q3 24: 3.13Q2 25: 3.14Q2 25Q3 25: 3.18Q4 25: 3.03Q1 26: 2.78Q2 26: 3.32Q2 26Q3 26 · estimate: 3.40Q3 263.40

Cash & debt

CashDebt
Q4 21 · Cash: $4.71BQ4 21Q1 22 · Cash: $2.34BQ2 22 · Cash: $1.87BQ3 22 · Cash: $2.83BQ3 22Q4 22 · Cash: $2.58BQ1 23 · Cash: $3.71BQ2 23 · Cash: $1.63BQ2 23Q3 23 · Cash: $3.5BQ4 23 · Cash: $4.58BQ1 24 · Cash: $838MQ1 24Q2 24 · Cash: $792MQ3 24 · Cash: $1.22BQ2 25 · Cash: $1.88BQ2 25 · Debt: $55.87BQ2 25Q3 25 · Cash: $2.41BQ3 25 · Debt: $55.82BQ4 25 · Cash: $774MQ4 25 · Debt: $54.81BQ1 26 · Cash: $1.17BQ1 26 · Debt: $54.88BQ2 26 · Cash: $822MQ2 26 · Debt: $54.59BQ2 26$55.87B

Return of capital

DividendsBuybacks
Q4 21 · Dividends: $1.03BQ4 21 · Buybacks: $803.3MQ4 21Q1 22 · Dividends: $1.03BQ1 22 · Buybacks: $1.51BQ2 22 · Dividends: $1.02BQ2 22 · Buybacks: $1.03BQ3 22 · Dividends: $1.01BQ3 22 · Buybacks: $869.2MQ3 22Q4 22 · Dividends: $1.11BQ4 22 · Buybacks: $489.1MQ1 23 · Dividends: $1.11BQ1 23 · Buybacks: $578MQ2 23 · Dividends: $1.11BQ2 23 · Buybacks: $570MQ2 23Q3 23 · Dividends: $1.11BQ3 23 · Buybacks: $1.05BQ4 23 · Dividends: $1.21BQ4 23 · Buybacks: $852MQ1 24 · Dividends: $1.21BQ1 24 · Buybacks: $918MQ1 24Q2 24 · Dividends: $1.2BQ2 24 · Buybacks: $934MQ3 24 · Dividends: $1.2BQ3 24 · Buybacks: $469MQ2 25 · Dividends: $1.27BQ2 25 · Buybacks: $505MQ2 25Q3 25 · Dividends: $1.26BQ3 25 · Buybacks: $501MQ4 25 · Dividends: $1.32BQ4 25 · Buybacks: $573MQ1 26 · Dividends: $1.32BQ1 26 · Buybacks: $396MQ2 26 · Dividends: $1.32BQ2 26 · Buybacks: $856MQ2 26$2.53B

Shares outstanding

Q1 22: 743.58MQ1 22Q1 22: 739.55MQ2 22: 735.72MQ3 22: 732.42MQ1 23: 731.5MQ1 23Q1 23: 730.09MQ2 23: 728.76MQ3 23: 725.34MQ1 24: 722.05MQ1 24Q1 24: 720.68MQ2 24: 717.34MQ3 24: 716.62MQ1 25: 714.46MQ1 25Q2 25: 713.6MQ3 25: 712.15MQ4 25: 710.6MQ1 26: 710.4MQ1 26: 710.51MQ2 26: 707.64MQ2 26743.58M

Stock-based compensation

Q4 21: $41.3MQ4 21Q1 22: $54.3MQ2 22: $38.3MQ3 22: $38.3MQ3 22Q4 22: $36.1MQ1 23: $50MQ2 23: $45MQ2 23Q3 23: $43MQ4 23: $37MQ1 24: $50MQ1 24Q2 24: $38MQ3 24: $40MQ2 25: $44MQ2 25Q3 25: $39MQ4 25: $37MQ1 26: $60MQ2 26: $39MQ2 26$60M

Operating expenses

R&DSG&A
Q1 24 · SG&A: $720MQ1 24Q2 24 · SG&A: $691MQ3 24 · SG&A: $647MQ3 24Q2 25 · SG&A: $595MQ3 25 · SG&A: $664MQ3 25Q4 25 · SG&A: $749MQ1 26 · SG&A: $648MQ2 26 · SG&A: $706MQ2 26$749M

Source: Yahoo Finance. Quarterly history grows automatically over time as new quarters are published.

Other comparisons

McDonald's vs Starbucks

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