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Rivian (RIVN) valuation

Run six valuation models on Rivian with live data: DCF, Reverse DCF, Graham number, Monte Carlo, scenarios and sum-of-the-parts (NAV).

RIVN
RIVN

Rivian

RIVN · Consumer Cyclical

Current price

15,98 USD

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Valuation

Market cap
$23.13B
PE (TTM | NTM | +1y)
— | -8.94 | -7.33
Price / Sales
3.93
EV / EBITDA
-8.75
Price / Book
4.26

Cash flow

FCF yield(-1.07 / 15.97)
-6.67%
SBC-adjusted FCF yield(-1.62 / 15.97)
-10.13%
SBC impact
-51.77%

Margins & growth

Profit margin
-54.96%
Operating margin
-50.42%
Quarterly earnings (YoY)
-25.43%
Quarterly revenue (YoY)
+27.24%

Balance

Cash
$5.31B
Debt
$5.35B
Net position
-$43M

Dividend

Dividend yield
—
Payout ratio
0%
Next payout
—

Price (1 year)

+30.51%
$22.45

Revenue

estimate
Q3 20: $0Q3 20Q1 21: $0Q2 21: $0Q3 21: $1MQ4 21: $54MQ4 21Q1 22: $95MQ2 22: $364MQ3 22: $536MQ4 22: $663MQ4 22Q1 23: $661MQ2 23: $1.12BQ3 23: $1.34BQ4 23: $1.32BQ4 23Q1 24: $1.2BQ2 24: $1.16BQ3 24: $874MQ2 25: $1.3BQ2 25Q3 25: $1.56BQ4 25: $1.29BQ1 26: $1.38BQ2 26: $1.66BQ2 26Q3 26 · estimate: $1.98BQ3 26$1.98B

EBITDA

Q2 25: -$848MQ2 25Q3 25: -$911MQ3 25Q4 25: -$536MQ4 25Q1 26: -$159MQ1 26Q2 26: -$533MQ2 26$0

Net income

Q3 20: -$288MQ3 20Q4 20: -$353MQ1 21: -$414MQ2 21: -$580MQ3 21: -$1.23BQ3 21Q4 21: -$2.46BQ1 22: -$1.59BQ2 22: -$1.71BQ3 22: -$1.72BQ3 22Q4 22: -$1.72BQ1 23: -$1.35BQ2 23: -$1.2BQ3 23: -$1.37BQ3 23Q4 23: -$1.52BQ1 24: -$1.45BQ2 24: -$1.46BQ3 24: -$1.1BQ3 24Q2 25: -$1.12BQ3 25: -$1.17BQ4 25: -$811MQ1 26: -$416MQ2 26: -$833MQ2 26$0

Free cash flow

Q1 21: -$802MQ1 21Q1 22: -$1.45BQ1 23: -$1.8BQ1 23Q1 24: -$1.52BQ2 25: -$398MQ2 25Q3 25: -$421MQ4 25: -$1.14BQ4 25Q1 26: -$1.08BQ2 26: -$849MQ2 26$0

EPS

estimate
Q3 20: -2.88Q3 20Q1 21: -4.10Q2 21: -5.74Q3 21: -12.21Q4 21: -0.93Q4 21Q1 22: -1.77Q2 22: -1.89Q3 22: -1.88Q4 22: -1.86Q4 22Q1 23: -1.45Q2 23: -1.27Q3 23: -1.44Q4 23: -1.58Q4 23Q1 24: -1.48Q2 24: -1.46Q3 24: -1.08Q2 25: -0.97Q2 25Q3 25: -0.96Q4 25: -0.66Q1 26: -0.33Q2 26: -0.63Q2 26Q3 26 · estimate: -0.73Q3 260.00

Cash & debt

CashDebt
Q4 20 · Cash: $2.98BQ4 20Q3 21 · Cash: $5.16BQ4 21 · Cash: $18.13BQ1 22 · Cash: $16.43BQ2 22 · Cash: $14.92BQ2 22Q3 22 · Cash: $13.27BQ4 22 · Cash: $11.57BQ1 23 · Cash: $11.24BQ2 23 · Cash: $9.26BQ2 23Q3 23 · Cash: $7.94BQ4 23 · Cash: $7.86BQ1 24 · Cash: $5.98BQ2 24 · Cash: $5.76BQ2 24Q3 24 · Cash: $5.4BQ2 25 · Cash: $4.81BQ2 25 · Debt: $6.34BQ3 25 · Cash: $4.44BQ3 25 · Debt: $6.45BQ4 25 · Cash: $3.58BQ4 25 · Debt: $6.65BQ1 26 · Cash: $2.85BQ1 26 · Debt: $6.58BQ2 26 · Cash: $3.59BQ2 26 · Debt: $5.35BQ2 26$18.13B

Shares outstanding

Q3 20: 100MQ3 20Q4 20: 101MQ1 21: 101MQ2 21: 101MQ3 21: 101.52MQ3 21Q4 21: 900MQ1 22: 901MQ2 22: 916MQ3 22: 921MQ3 22Q4 22: 926MQ1 23: 939MQ2 23: 946MQ3 23: 956MQ3 23Q4 23: 968MQ1 24: 994MQ2 24: 1.01BQ3 24: 1.02BQ3 24Q2 25: 1.21BQ3 25: 1.23BQ4 25: 1.24BQ1 26: 1.26BQ2 26: 1.37BQ2 261.37B

Stock-based compensation

Q1 21: $0Q1 21Q1 22: $317MQ1 23: $183MQ1 23Q1 24: $233MQ2 25: $189MQ2 25Q3 25: $174MQ4 25: $190MQ4 25Q1 26: $207MQ2 26: $226MQ2 26$317M

Operating expenses

R&DSG&A
Q3 20 · R&D: $220MQ3 20 · SG&A: $68MQ3 20Q1 21 · R&D: $289MQ1 21 · SG&A: $121MQ2 21 · R&D: $394MQ2 21 · SG&A: $186MQ3 21 · R&D: $441MQ3 21 · SG&A: $253MQ4 21 · R&D: $726MQ4 21 · SG&A: $682MQ4 21Q1 22 · R&D: $547MQ1 22 · SG&A: $530MQ2 22 · R&D: $543MQ2 22 · SG&A: $461MQ3 22 · R&D: $452MQ3 22 · SG&A: $405MQ4 22 · R&D: $402MQ4 22 · SG&A: $393MQ4 22Q1 23 · R&D: $496MQ1 23 · SG&A: $402MQ2 23 · R&D: $444MQ2 23 · SG&A: $429MQ3 23 · R&D: $529MQ3 23 · SG&A: $434MQ4 23 · R&D: $526MQ4 23 · SG&A: $449MQ4 23Q1 24 · R&D: $461MQ1 24 · SG&A: $496MQ2 24 · R&D: $428MQ2 24 · SG&A: $496MQ3 24 · R&D: $350MQ3 24 · SG&A: $427MQ2 25 · R&D: $410MQ2 25 · SG&A: $446MQ2 25Q3 25 · R&D: $453MQ3 25 · SG&A: $554MQ4 25 · R&D: $424MQ4 25 · SG&A: $308MQ1 26 · R&D: $458MQ1 26 · SG&A: $485MQ2 26 · R&D: $466MQ2 26 · SG&A: $485MQ2 26$1.41B

Source: Yahoo Finance. Quarterly history grows automatically over time as new quarters are published.

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